>Graph-o-matic: The Mets outfield D

>These are my first attempts at visually displaying +/- data for outfielders. I came up with charts for Jason Bay, Angel Pagan, and Jeff Francoeur.

You can see there are three separate zones – the bottom one representing balls in front of the fielder, the middle one balls hit at the fielder, and the top zone for balls hit over the fielder’s head. The arrows towards the infield represents the arm, but as you can see with Jeff Francoeur, some arms are actually off the charts. Mostly because I made the charts too small. I’ll need to mess around with that. I left enough room for +5 arms, but Francoeur is a +8.

The colored rectangles represent league average, while the black outline is supposed to be the player’s range.

Anyway, here is Jason Bay, Angel Pagan, and Jeff Francoeur:

 
Jason Bay is miserable at balls over his head, but actually decent going side to side and moving in. His arm is above average as well. His inability to go back on balls is what kills him, though it was previously one of his strengths as an outfielder. Maybe chalk that up to the quirks of Fenway or positioning. UZR rated him D much harsher than plus/minus.
Angel Pagan: 

Good going back, average side to side and coming in on balls. Another plus arm in the Mets outfield. I wonder if the Mets scouting department is really into arm strength for their outfielders? Beltran, Pagan, Francoeur, Bay, Church, Floyd . . . even Sheffield could fire off a bullet if he needed too.

Lastly, Jeff Francoeur:

Yeah, I should have left more room for the arms. Francoeur actually has below average range according to plus/minus, but his arm makes up for it. He also robbed two home runs in 2009, bumping him even further into positive defensive value – on the other hand, UZR did not like Frenchy’s defense at all, putting him at -6.1. I think I’m going to go with plus/minus here. Francoeur looks to have averagey range, but the arm bumps him into the above average group.  

The Mets have an average ranged outfield with a bunch of bazooka arms – so they’ll probably be above average in 2010.  I didn’t do Beltran because who knows what his range will be after surgery, and I didn’t do Gary Matthews Jr. because I’m pretending he doesn’t exist for my own fan-sanity. Maybe I’ll put up those two at some point anyway.

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4 Comments

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4 responses to “>Graph-o-matic: The Mets outfield D

  1. Anonymous

    >I am really curious to see Beltran's because I love watching him play the field. Do you think you could add his of what he is like when healthy?

  2. Anonymous

    >Cool analysis. Any chance you can run through the whole NL east to see how we stack up to the other teams in the division defensively without Beltran?

  3. TRS86

    >Great article. Just curious, could you do Bay's home and road splits? Is that info out there? I am really intrigued by the fact that his defense tanked even more once he was traded. Is it possible that his positioning in Boston vastly changed his UZR score?

  4. Patrick Flood

    >@ TRS86I wish I could. Neither Plus/minus nor UZR gives home/road splits for the defensive numbers. I think both systems claim that the ballpark shouldn't matter, but I'd like to see what it looks like anyway.

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